BLACK SWAN THE IMPACT OF THE HIGHLY IMPROBABLE (P/B)

WHAT HAVE THE INVENTION OF THE WHEEL, POMPEII, THE WALL STREET CRASH, HARRY POTTER AND THE INTERNET GOT IN COMMON? WHY ARE ALL FORECASTERS CON-ARTISTS? WHAT CAN CATHERINE THE GREAT'S LOVERS TELL US ABOUT PROBABILITY? AND, WHY SHOULD YOU NEVER RUN FOR A TRAIN OR READ A NEWSPAPER? THIS BOOK IS ALL ABOUT BLACK SWANS THE RANDOM EVENTS THAT UNDERLIE OUR LIVES, FROM BESTSELLERS TO WORLD DISASTERS. THEIR IMPACT IS HUGE; THEY'RE IMPOSSIBLE TO PREDICT; YET AFTER THEY HAPPEN WE ALWAYS TRY TO RATIONALIZE THEM. A RALLYING CRY TO IGNORE THE 'EXPERTS', "THE BLACK SWAN" SHOWS US HOW TO STOP TRYING TO PREDICT EVERYTHING - AND TAKE ADVANTAGE OF UNCERTAINTY.