Rating Based Modeling of Credit Risk Theory and Application of Migration Matrices (H/C)

In the Last Decade, Rating-Based Models Have Become Very Popular in Credit Risk Management. These Systems Use the Rating of a Company As the Decisive Variable to Evaluate the Default Risk of a Bond or Loan. the Popularity is Due to the Straightforwardness of the Approach, and to the Upcoming New Capital Accord (Basel Ii), Which Allows Banks to Base Their Capital Requirements on Internal As Well As External Rating Systems. Because of This, Sophisticated Credit Risk Models Are Being Developed or Demanded by Banks to Assess the Risk of Their Credit Portfolio Better by Recognizing the Different Underlying Sources of Risk.As a Consequence, Not Only Default Probabilities for Certain Rating Categories but Also the Probabilities of Moving From One Rating State to Another Are Important Issues in Such Models for Risk Management and Pricing. It is Widely Accepted That Rating Migrations and Default Probabilities Show Significant Variations Through Time Due to Macroeconomics Conditions or the Busin